Brandenburg voters are dissatisfied: AfD overtakes SPD clearly!

Brandenburg voters are dissatisfied: AfD overtakes SPD clearly!

In today's Brandenburg trend by Infratest dimap, broadcast on RBB24, there is a threatening decline in support for the coalition of the SPD and BSW. A total of 54 percent of the respondents are dissatisfied with the state government, while only 40 percent of satisfaction express. This is particularly alarming with regard to the upcoming elections, because the AfD has experienced an enormous upswing and now comes to the maximum value of 32 percent. This means an increase of 2 percentage points compared to the last survey in December 2024. The SPD, on the other hand, drastically falls to 23 percent and thus loses 5 points, while the BSW slips to 9 percent, which corresponds to a minus of 3 points.

The CDU can easily get up and reaches 14 percent, but it also remains far from the required majority. Surprising is the growth of the left, which has doubled its voice share to 9 percent. In the Greens, the status quo remains with a stable 5 percent. As far as the coalition options are concerned, it looks bleak: a three-way coalition against the AfD seems impossible because votes from parties such as CDU or BSW are missing. Current considerations make it clear that none of the common coalitions, be it a Kenya alliance or a red-red-green cooperation, could achieve a majority if the AfD is left out, as is Tagesspiegel reported.

political mood

The resentment of the state government is noticeable and raises questions about political stability. Satisfaction with Prime Minister Dietmar Woidke (SPD), which has fallen to the lowest value since 2013, seems to be a decisive problem. Only 50 percent of Brandenburgers are still satisfied with his work. This is also evident in the different sympathy values: While 83 percent of the SPD supporters are satisfied, the satisfaction level at BSW supporters only corresponds to 47 percent and even 22 percent for AfD supporters.
according to the results of the survey, which was carried out between 19 and 23 June and 1,185 eligible elections are 68 percent of the respondents with the planned job structure in the new State budget dissatisfied, as the police are primarily created, while the number of teachers is supposed to stagnate. This political wrong decision is viewed critically by the population.

In the meantime, the topic of a possible prohibition procedure against the AfD is hotly discussed. After all, 58 percent of those surveyed consider such a procedure to be inappropriate. However, this does not mean that there is no support for it: 84 percent in the Greens, the left 73 percent and even 59 percent of the SPD supporters see a ban as realistic. However, the majority of the CDU supporters (58 percent) and the voters of the BSW (69 percent) clearly reject a procedure. The AfD supporters are even 97 percent against such a procedure.

outlook and possible coalitions

A look at possible government coalitions shows that the current SPD/BSW coalition is already on the brink and has no majority. The need for a solid government work is becoming increasingly compelling, while the situation remains unstable. Most parties now have to weigh up how to design their strategies in order to be able to deal with the AfD.
The discussion about suitable alliances remains exciting, especially in view of the fact that even theoretical coalitions make it clear that many parties cannot work together in the current constellation.

Even if the survey values can still change, the current trend shows that the mood in the country is tense and uncertain. The state election will certainly take a sensational course - there is something!

Tagesspiegel dawum