Berlin is growing rapidly: Four million inhabitants predicted by 2040!

Berlin is growing rapidly: Four million inhabitants predicted by 2040!

Berlin, Deutschland - The city of Berlin shows an astonishing growth that goes far beyond the first assessments. According to current data from the Senate Administration, the population could increase to around four million by 2040. Originally, only 3.9 million were assumed, but reality speaks a different language. Around 3.8 million people currently live in the capital. The trend towards immigration seems to be unbroken, which shows that Berlin grows more than initially expected. Also berlin-live.de emphasized that the statisticians have determined differences between the forecasts and the actual development.

In the current decade, up to 90,000 new residents will be expected, while only around 20,000 additional residents are forecast in the 2030s. However, a weak point remains natural population development - here the number of deaths exceeds the birth rate. If there was a decline in immigration, the city could shrink by up to 270,000 inhabitants over the next 15 years. The upcoming, adapted population forecast, which is to be presented in October, will take into account new construction projects and the accommodation of refugees. One can only say about the shortage of living space in the city: the challenge remains great.

new forecasts, new challenges

A more comprehensive analysis of the population forecast until 2045 published the BBSR, which takes considerable changes in the demographic framework. In the past, the outer hike gains were significantly underestimated: Instead of initially projected 1.4 million people who were supposed to move in Germany between 2018 and 2022, there were actually 2.7 million. The planning phase in front of us is characterized by huge regional differences when it comes to population development (bbsr.bund.de.

Demographic development in Berlin is also shaped by an increasing average age. According to an examination, the average age will increase slightly from 42.9 years to 43.2 years by 2040. This has an impact on the age structure: the number of over 80s will increase by 3.5 %, while the employable population will grow slightly. At the same time, the younger people show a gratifying trend: the number of young adults between the ages of 18 and 25 grows by about 13 %.

plan for the future

These demographic changes should not only be taken into account for current urban planning projects. The forecasts of the past, based on the registration register, have also proven themselves as the basis for future decisions. The Senate Department has determined the average variant of the forecast for future plans, which is a valuable orientation aid for specialist administrations and districts (berlin.de).

On the whole, the population of Berlin remains a dynamic topic that influences many aspects of urban planning and infrastructure. Despite certain challenges, growth also offers opportunities. Whether in the area of living space, educational institutions or traffic - it is due to the decision -makers to act in the way. It remains exciting to see how the capital will develop among the changing demographic requirements.