Squal election in Poland: Who decides on Europe's future?

Squal election in Poland: Who decides on Europe's future?

Polen, Land - On June 1, 2025, a decisive runoff election around the presidency will take place in Poland. The two candidates, the liberal Rafal Trzaskowski and the right-wing conservative Karol Nawrocki, have a head-to-head race. According to the latest surveys from Opinia24, Trzaskowski is slightly ahead of Nawrocki with 47.4 percent, which is 46.3 percent. 3.6 percent of the respondents are undecided, while 2.7 percent did not want to give an answer .

The choice is of considerable importance for the future course of Poland within the EU and NATO. A victory of Trzaskowski could support the pro -European policy of the incumbent prime minister Donald Tusk, while Nawrocki has the potential to continue the blockade policy of his predecessor Andrzej Duda. Nawrocki is supported by the national conservative PIS party and is skeptical about the help for Ukraine and the EU climate policy

voters and turnout

until noon, the turnout was 24.83 percent, which indicates a hesitant electorate. This skepticism could result from disenchantment with politics that has increased in recent years. In the first round of the election, over 21 percent of voters voted for right -wing extremists who have now left. Many supporters of these candidates could now support Nawrocki .

Trzaskowski is particularly attracted to urban voters and is committed to LGBT rights. He speaks five foreign languages ​​and is the more conciliatory candidate. Nawrocki, on the other hand, has its basis, especially in the country and in voters who demand traditional values ​​and less influence of the EU. He relies on the fears of his voters and warns of a loss of Poland's sovereignty by the EU .

political controversy and influence

The choice is also shaped by personal attacks and controversy. Among other things, Nawrocki was accused of having been involved in a mass brawl and having made a local apartment. Despite these allegations, his political camp sticks to him. Trzaskowski, on the other hand, criticizes Nawrocki's past and is referred to by him as a "coward" and "Strohmann von Tusk" .

The political scene is also shaped by international influences. The US Vice President canceled his visit to Poland, while Minister of Homeland Protection Kristi Noem travels to Warsaw to support Nawrocki and to criticize Trzaskowski sharply. This is referred to as the "catastrophe" and "socialist" .

sociologists analyze that the electorate is divided into three groups: the loyal base of the PIS, the supporters of the citizens' coalition against the PIS and a group that is dissatisfied with both sides. Trzaskowski urgently needs the support of non -voters to increase his chances of winning, while Nawrocki specifically addresses the voters who voted for right -wing extremists in the first round

outlook for the election

The next time will be crucial: Experts predict that the turnout will have a significant impact on the result. Both candidates will try to win the undecided voters. While Trzaskowski presents himself as the candidate who wants to bring a respectful and supportive president to the top, Nawrocki endeavors to bring about a turn with his aggressive strategy and the support of his conservative basis .

The future of Poland depends on the election decision that not only affects the presidential office, but also influence the entire political landscape and the direction of the country within the EU and NATO.