Coffee prices explode: more expensive than inflation and food!

Coffee prices explode: more expensive than inflation and food!

Deutschland - Consumers in Germany have to expect a significant increase in coffee prices in the near future. According to current reports, consumer prices for bean coffee rose by over 12% in April 2025 compared to the same month. The price increase thus exceeds the general food index, which only increased by 2.8%, as well as the inflation rate, which is 2.1%. It is particularly noteworthy that the prices for bean coffee have increased by impressive 31.2% since April 2021, while the inflation of food was 31.4% and the general inflation was 18.8%. These developments are influenced by various factors, in particular by increased import prices for raw coffee that were triggered by crop failures. The import prices for non -roasted coffee beans in April 2025 rose by 53% compared to the previous year, and even the price for roasted and decaffeinated coffee increased by 35.8% ( ZVW , Zeit ).

The situation is particularly due to extreme weather conditions in important growing areas such as Brazil. In 2024, Brazil experienced the warmest measured year, which led to drought and devastating forest fires. These circumstances have a strong influence on the production conditions, and Brazil plays a crucial role as the largest coffee exporter: In 2024, it delivered 41.1% of the total imported amount of coffee to Germany, which corresponded to around 516,000 tons. Other important countries of origin are Vietnam, Honduras, Colombia as well as Uganda, Italy and Peru ( ZDF ).

forecasts and market changes

experts assume that the price increases will continue. Carlos Mera, Rabobank agricultural market expert, predicts that coffee prices for the lower price ranges could increase in large packs by at least 30%, while smaller packs, strong brands and capsules should be less affected. The price for Arabica beans on the ICE raw material exchange in New York recently reached over £ 320 per pound, which has marked the highest price since 1977. The raw coffee prices have increased by about 70%this year, and the effects on consumers are expected in the next six to nine months ( ZDF ).

In addition, longer transport times and the unrest around the EU Wald Protection Act as well as possible tariffs in the United States ensure uncertainties in the market. Tchibo has already reported empty coffee bearings worldwide and considers price increases to be essential. The risks of climate change are also a major challenge for coffee production, since it is predicted that acreage for Arabica coffee could decrease by half by 2050.

coffee consumption in Germany

The average coffee consumption in Germany is around 164 liters per capita annually. A price increase in the coffee market not only has an impact on the economy, but also affects consumers who have to adjust to higher costs. Coffee lovers should adapt to changes and adjustments in the market, especially during these uncertain times in which the monitoring of price developments is crucial ( Zeit , ZDF ).