Election thriller 2025: SPD, AfD & Co. in the survey low - who can still score?

Election thriller 2025: SPD, AfD & Co. in the survey low - who can still score?

Thüringen, Deutschland - On June 5, 2025, Germany's political landscape continues to be shown in the river. Recent surveys on the Bundestag election reveal remarkable trends that are raised by various opinion research institutes. Loud Remszeitung lead methodical differences in data collection to different results in the surveys. Institutes like Allensbach rely on personal surveys, while others, such as Forsa and Infratest dimap, carry out telephone surveys.

The average survey values ​​show a picture that is shaped by the strengths and weaknesses of the political parties. After the Bundestag election in 2021, the SPD initially managed to mobilize voters; As a result, however, the Union overtook the Social Democrats. The Greens, who had a high flight at the beginning, also had to accept a decline in approval. In a significant decline, the FDP failed at the 5 percent hurdle in the federal election in 2025, while the AfD benefited from the losses of the traffic light parties and in the meantime rose to the second strongest force. These dynamic changes shape the political climate in the country.

coalition options in the Thuringian state parliament

In the Free State of Thuringia, the possibility of new government coalitions is intensively discussed. According to the current surveys, the existing coalition of CDU, BSW (Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht) and SPD could lose its majority. The developments are observed by dawum , whereby coalitions with at least 88 seats and a minimum number of 45 mandates are taken into account. Theoretical change scenarios are possible in the distribution of seats for the future. In this way, parties that overcome the 3 percent hurdle could influence the majority.

The current coalition is characterized by a dashed border, which illustrates uncertainty about its stability. With a red frame it is indicated that the coalition could no longer have the necessary majority. These uncertainties contribute to the dynamics and tensions in the Thuringian political landscape.

adjustments in the Bundestag

The developments in the Bundestag are no less exciting. dawum analyzes the possible government coalitions that could be formed from parties that together achieve more than 316 mandates. The current majority relationships are also critically highlighted, and as in the case of Thuringia, the existing coalition of the CDU/CSU and SPD is shown accordingly. With a red frame, it is also visualized here that the current coalition could possibly lose its majority.

These developments indicate the complexity of the election situation and make it clear that many factors will play a role in the upcoming Bundestag election. The political parties have to adapt their strategies accordingly in order to successfully remain in the changing political environment.