Wahltrends 2025: SPD under pressure - who leads the race?

Wahltrends 2025: SPD under pressure - who leads the race?

Thüringen, Deutschland - On June 3, 2025, a current survey on the Bundestag election shows which parties are in voting. Poll values ​​are regularly charged by opinion research institutes such as Forsa and Infratest Dimap. These collect the so -called "Sunday question", which questions how the citizens would vote if there were election the next Sunday. According to the Editorial Network Germany (RND), the average of the last ten surveys is calculated daily, which enables a broad overview of the mood of the electorate.

The political maps have been noticeably shifted since the Bundestag election in 2021. At first the SPD was the strongest force in the Bundestag, but was quickly overtaken by the Union. The Greens, who experienced a high -altitude flight after the election, also had to accept bitter losses. The FDP, on the other hand, fought with a long-term decline in its votes and failed in the upcoming Bundestag election 2025 at the 5 percent hurdle.

Current developments in the party structure

Another remarkable trend concerns the AfD: it benefited from the losses of the traffic light parties and rose to the second strongest party in mid -2023. But in early 2024 the AfD lost a few percentage points, which raises questions about its future stability. The new party BSW (Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht) also only comes under the 5 percent mark in the surveys.

The methods of survey survey Varre between the institutes. For example, while Allensbach carries out personal-mademic surveys, Verian (Kantar Public, Emnid) and Forsa use telephone surveys. Insa and YouGov, on the other hand, rely on internet -based surveys. The panel size is usually between 1,000 and 2,000 people, whereby the results according to gender, age and education are weighted in order to achieve representative results.

insight into Thuringia's political trends

A deeper view of the votes also shows interesting developments in Thuringia, a federal state that is often regarded as a political laboratory. Here the possibility of future government coalitions is highlighted. A coalition currently consists of the CDU, BSW and SPD, ...

However, this is characterized by a red frame as unstable, since it would no longer have a majority if parties would become less important with less than 5 percent of the votes. The political scenario leaves space for theoretical changes in the distribution of seats, especially when new parties or coalitions fail or exceed the 5 percent hurdle.

Overall, the latest surveys and developments reflect a dynamic political environment. Parties have to constantly reposition themselves in order to meet the changing wishes of the electorate. As an online resource, Wahlrecht.de Further detailed insights into current surveys and their methodology. In addition, dawum regional peculiarities, especially in Thuringia, and shows how the votes in this country are distributed compared to the federal government. While the political landscape will continue to move, the coming months will be decisive for the direction of German politics.