AfD in the crash of survey! Union catches up with - Merz in the upswing!

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On June 11, 2025, a new INSA survey shows that the AfD drops to 22.5 percent, while the Union increases to 27.5 percent.
On June 11, 2025, a new INSA survey shows that the AfD drops to 22.5 percent, while the Union increases to 27.5 percent. (Symbolbild/NAG)

Thüringen, Deutschland - In the latest Insa> The alternative for Germany (AfD) a decline to 22.5 percent, the worst value since the end of March. Within a week, the party lost two percentage points, which increases the gap to the Union (CDU/CSU), which increases to 27.5 percent, to five points. In May the AfD and the Union were still 24.5 percent. Insa boss Hermann Binkert notes that the parties are again approaching their Bundestag election results, which reflects the picture on the political landscape.

The decline of the AfD could have been influenced by negative headlines, including an insulting social media post by a MP. At the same time, an increase in the approval for Friedrich Merz, who gained popularity after a visit to US President Donald Trump and a controversial migration course. In his own followers, Merz overtook the CSU colleague Markus Söder with 73.4 points to 70.7 points.

parties in the survey deep

The SPD remains at 16 percent, while the Greens climb 11 percent slightly and thus pull in front of the left. The BSW improves to 4.5 percent, while the FDP remains 4 percent. These figures illustrate the difficulties with which many parties are faced. The decline in the Union is described as "dramatic", especially in comparison to the surveys before the coalition negotiations that indicate uncertainty within the party.

The Union voters are disappointed with the previous coalition negotiations. Many CDU and CSU positions work vague, which is perceived as a weakness. This is partially attributed to the broken election promise to the debt brake, which led to allegations of the voter deception. The impression of uncertainty and disagreement could be crucial for the votes.

future government coalitions in Thuringia

In Thuringia, the political situation is also taken into account. Here you evaluate possible government coalitions in which parties with at least 88 seats are involved. The analysis focuses on coalitions consisting of 45 or more mandates, together with a comparison of the past to current interests. The current coalition partner of the CDU, BSW and SPD is shown in a red frame, which indicates that this constellation no longer had a majority. The theoretical possibility of changing the distribution of seats could be considered, especially if parties exceed the five percent hurdle when the next vote.

Overall, the situation of the German party landscape shows an exciting development against the background of current surveys, which could be crucial for the upcoming elections. The reactions of the electorate to internal problems as well as the political decisions will strongly influence the future direction of the parties.

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OrtThüringen, Deutschland
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