Airbus cheers: Aircraft demand is increasing to new records by 2044!

Airbus cheers: Aircraft demand is increasing to new records by 2044!

The global demand for aircraft is expected to increase sharply in the coming years. The Paris Air Show starts on June 16, 2025, where Airbus will present its forecast for the next 20 years. According to Derwesten will be expected by 2044 with the operation of around 43,400 new passenger and freight aircraft. This development could almost double the entire global aircraft fleet and is supported by an annual growth rate of air traffic of 3.6 percent.

An important factor for this growth is the increase in the middle class worldwide, which is to increase by around 1.5 billion people by 2044. A high demand is expected in particular in internal air traffic and on the routes between China and other Asian countries. In addition, 44 percent of the new aircraft should replace existing machines, while the larger proportion of existing fleet is required.

requested aircraft types

In the forecast, a high need for narrow hull aircraft such as the Airbus A320neo and A220 with around 34,250 orders is expected. In addition, around 9,170 large jets, such as the Airbus A350, A330neo as well as Boeing 787 and 777x, are required. The Airbus share was under the all-time high of 177.30 euros in early June, with more stable supply chains gaining advantages over Boeing.

Boeing continues to fight with quality problems and restricted production capacities, which influences the competitive situation on the aviation market. Börsennews emphasizes that the information serves in this context, but no individual investment advice can be replaced. The acquisition of securities carries risks that investors should consider.

growth forecast for the aviation industry

According to an analysis of Mordor Intelligence, the aviation market will have an average annual growth rate of 2.95 percent from 2020 to 2029. The market size was around $ 333.96 billion in 2023 and will grow to $ 386.21 billion by 2028. The Asia-Pacific area is considered the fastest growing and at the same time the largest market, which reinforces the unbroken demand for air travel.

The Covid 19 pandemic had severely impaired the aviation market, but relaxation began in 2022 when international flight passenger traffic increase in June 2022 by 229.5 percent compared to the previous year. Orders and deliveries of new aircraft, including helicopters and business aircraft, have also improved. Mordor Intelligence emphasizes that the main actors in this market are the Boeing Company, Airbus SE as well as Lockheed Martin and Textron.

Overall, it can be seen that the aviation industry is faced with a significant change, which is characterized by technological innovations and an increasing demand for modern aircraft. The coming weeks and months, especially the Paris Air Show, will probably offer decisive insights into these developments.