AfD in Bavaria over 20 percent: Söder warns of mortal enemy”!

AfD in Bavaria over 20 percent: Söder warns of mortal enemy”!

The political pulse in Bavaria is beating faster than ever. A current survey by the “Augsburger Allgemeine”, carried out by the opinion research institute Civey, shows a rapid rise of the AfD in Bavarian regions. In the survey published on June 14, 2025, the AfD reached a new record of 22 percent - a remarkable increase of 8 percentage points compared to the previous survey in March, where the party was at 14 percent. This marks the first time that the AfD has been able to exceed the 20 percent mark in Bavaria, marking a significant shift in the political landscape of southern Germany. Derwesten reports that Despite its desired place at the top, the CSU remains the dominant force with 39 percent, but is far from the previous absolute majorities.

Markus Söder, the Prime Minister of Bavaria, described the AfD as a “mortal enemy” of his union, highlighting the tensions between the political camps. A look at the competition shows that the Greens have also come under pressure with 12 percent and the Free Voters with 9 percent.

Strong survey results and their meaning

The survey also points to a worrying situation for the SPD, which, with a meager 7 percent, narrowly missed being eliminated from the state parliament. This is a real wake-up call for the Social Democrats and shows how much the political landscape is in flux, while the AfD is on the rise and continues to maintain comparable support to the federal election in February with 23 percent nationwide.

A growth of 3 percentage points compared to the previous month cements the AfD in second place in a hypothetical state election in Bavaria. Augsburger Allgemeine explains that the CSU, the strongest force, lost two percent, which put it below the 40 percent mark.

Nationwide trends and regional differences

Overall, the surveys also bring Germany-wide developments to light. The current results show a stable figure of 23 percent for the AfD at the federal level, which means that the party is gaining influence, while the Union with Chancellor Friedrich Merz remains at the top with 27 percent. Dawum notes that The average poll numbers for the AfD in the federal states are 19.2 percent and clear differences can be observed between old and new federal states. In Saxony and Thuringia, for example, the AfD even reached 35 percent - a clear sign of its regional strength.

The AfD's party approval index is currently 21.1 percent, which underlines the growing support for this party. This could also be used for the upcoming state and federal elections in order to better understand the voting behavior of voters in Bavaria and beyond. It remains to be seen how things will develop.